Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAR
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
FRO
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
22%
27%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 2
SAS
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 0
LEC
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 3
ATL
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ROM
3 - 0
BRE
83%
12%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |