Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 0
STU
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 2
INT
24%
25%
52%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
UDI
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 1
UDI
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 1
LEC
49%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 0
BRE
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |