Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.1%
20%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSB
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
UDI
4 - 0
PAR
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
PAR
3 - 0
REG
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAR
42%
32%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
51%
31%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
USC
0 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
SSS
51%
30%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
EMP
0 - 2
BRE
51%
31%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
TAR
2 - 1
BRE
40%
33%
27%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |