Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
USC
0 - 0
PAR
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
31%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1988 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRI
51%
30%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
29%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 0
BRE
47%
31%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
BRE
0 - 0
LAZ
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |