Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
AVE
3 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 1
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAR
55%
29%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 0
GEN
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
USF
1 - 1
BRE
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 2
NOV
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
64%
23%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |