Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
PAR
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
52%
30%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRE
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
BRE
0 - 0
PRG
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 2
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |