Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
TAR
2 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAR
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
COM
4 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 0
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
BRE
2 - 2
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |