Parma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 2
CAG
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
USA
0 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
UDI
3 - 0
BRE
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |