Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Parma vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
REG
1 - 3
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 3
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
SEV
37%
27%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
WIN
0 - 3
AUS
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 0
WIN
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AWM
2 - 2
AUS
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
ZAR
2 - 2
AUS
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |