Parma vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 2
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 1
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
VNZ
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 1
COS
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 0
UDI
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
VAR
4 - 0
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 0
PRO
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |