Parma vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
FRO
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 2
PAL
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 2
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ACD
2 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TER
5 - 1
CTT
24%
26%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 2
SPE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CTT
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CTT
0 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
CTT
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |