Parma vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
PIS
2 - 1
PAR
28%
28%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
AVE
72%
18%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 2
PAR
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CTT
2 - 0
BRE
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
CTT
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 0
ANC
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 3
CTT
52%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 0
ABN
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |