Parma vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
27.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 2
PAR
23%
27%
51%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAR
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
75%
18%
8%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
ASC
1 - 3
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
BAR
1 - 1
TOR
37%
30%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASC
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
EMP
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
BAR
0 - 0
EMP
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |