Europa League 1/16
Global 3-0
Parma vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
PAR
1 - 0
ROM
45%
28%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1994 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAR
33%
31%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
PAR
2 - 1
REG
65%
22%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1994 |
AIK
0 - 1
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
SAM
3 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
AIK
2 - 1
HAL
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1994 |
AIK
0 - 1
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
HÄC
1 - 2
AIK
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1994 |
AIK
1 - 2
MFF
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
HEL
3 - 0
AIK
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |