Parma vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
LEC
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
VIG
1 - 2
PAR
64%
18%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
ACP
0 - 3
VNZ
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
ACP
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
ACP
0 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 0
ACP
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ACP
3 - 1
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |