Parma vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
COS
1 - 2
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
UDI
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 1
PAR
71%
20%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
PRO
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
4 - 1
ASS
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
VER
2 - 1
ASS
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
UDI
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |