Parma vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 4
VER
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
LEC
1 - 0
ACM
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 2
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |