Parma vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
PAR
3 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
REG
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 0
ACP
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
MAN
3 - 0
ACM
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
USF
0 - 0
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 1
TRI
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
PAL
0 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
MES
3 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |