Parma vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
MAN
1 - 0
USC
69%
16%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
MAN
1 - 3
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
ASM
1 - 2
MAN
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
MAN
1 - 1
ASS
62%
19%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1938 |
PIA
1 - 2
MAN
62%
19%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |