Parma vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.4%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
24%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 4
PAR
6%
17%
76%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
DEL
80%
15%
5%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
IMO
1 - 3
PAR
8%
18%
74%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAN
81%
15%
5%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 2
PAR
6%
17%
76%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIN
0 - 0
MEZ
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 0
VIN
81%
14%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 2
UAR
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 3
VIN
20%
24%
56%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIN
2 - 2
COR
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |