Paris FC U19 vs Montferrand U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
14º
5º
18
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
PAR
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 2
STR
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 3
PAR
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
SOC
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BBP
0 - 0
PAR
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montferrand U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DIJ
2 - 1
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STR
6 - 0
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
PAG
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SOC
1 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |