Paris FC vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
NIC
2 - 1
PFC
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
PFC
4 - 2
ASN
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
STR
1 - 1
PFC
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
PFC
2 - 2
GIR
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
NÎM
1 - 1
PFC
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
TRO
0 - 2
MON
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
MAR
2 - 3
TRO
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
TRO
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
MET
1 - 1
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
TRO
3 - 0
SOC
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |