Paris FC vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
6º
3º
5
12º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 48 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 35 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 33 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
PFC
33%
28%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
PFC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 2
DUN
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 2
PFC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RED
0 - 3
STL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
STL
1 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
STL
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
STL
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |