Paris FC vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
PFC
0 - 0
BRC
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
PFC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 2
FCM
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
NÎM
2 - 1
PFC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
0 - 4
RED
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 3
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPI
38%
26%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 2
NÎM
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
RED
0 - 3
SPI
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 2
FCR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |