Paris FC vs Rodez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
2º
23
9º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AMI
0 - 0
PFC
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
GRE
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 3
PFC
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 0
STL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RED
1 - 3
PFC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
ROD
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ROD
3 - 3
LOR
30%
26%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 2
ROD
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 1
ROD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |