Paris FC vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 0
PFC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 0
FRE
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
VAN
3 - 1
PFC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 0
LPS
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
PFC
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
RED
0 - 2
CHE
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 1
RED
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
NÎM
27%
31%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 0
BRC
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FCR
2 - 1
RED
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |