Paris FC vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
ASS
3 - 0
PFC
91%
6%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1972 |
REN
2 - 1
PFC
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
NAN
2 - 0
PFC
76%
15%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1972 |
PFC
3 - 2
ASN
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAN
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1972 |
BAS
0 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
MAR
5 - 2
LYO
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1972 |
SED
0 - 2
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1972 |
BAS
5 - 2
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |