Europa League Fase Final 1/16
Global 5-1
PSG vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASS
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 4
PSG
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 3
GIR
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 0
CAE
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GAZ
0 - 3
PSG
9%
23%
68%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
EIN
0 - 2
WOL
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 0
RTV
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 1
WOL
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
WOL
5 - 1
ROS
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
2 - 2
WOL
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |