PSG vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
PSG
4 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 2
PSG
36%
30%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PSG
3 - 1
LMU
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
PSG
54%
26%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
REN
1 - 0
PSG
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 1
MON
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LYO
0 - 0
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 2
SOC
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |