PSG vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
PSG
3 - 0
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
SPI
0 - 2
PSG
12%
25%
63%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 1
PSG
42%
29%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 2
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
AUX
0 - 1
PSG
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASS
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ASN
0 - 0
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |