PSG vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 1
PSG
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
PSG
0 - 3
NIC
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
LYO
2 - 3
PSG
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
FCR
1 - 3
PSG
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1977 |
TRO
1 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
LEN
3 - 2
TRO
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
TRO
0 - 0
STL
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
SOC
5 - 2
TRO
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
NIC
4 - 1
TRO
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |