PSG vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 1
GIR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 3
PSG
61%
21%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
LEN
3 - 3
PSG
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 1
REI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
TRO
2 - 1
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
LIL
3 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
TRO
1 - 0
SOC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 0
TRO
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
TRO
1 - 1
ANG
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |