PSG vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
5 - 1
ANG
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
LYO
68%
18%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
REI
1 - 3
TFC
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |