PSG vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 2
PSG
5%
15%
80%
|
87 | 32 | 55 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 0
PSG
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
PSG
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
PSG
4 - 2
ATH
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 0
TFC
19%
26%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 1
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 1
ETG
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 2
TFC
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |