PSG vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1985 |
MON
4 - 1
PSG
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
PSG
0 - 1
STL
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
STR
1 - 1
PSG
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
PSG
2 - 2
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
FCR
0 - 1
PSG
34%
29%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1985 |
TFC
0 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
NAN
2 - 2
TFC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
TFC
2 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |