Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
PSG vs SV Thor Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1983 |
PSG
2 - 0
GIR
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
FCM
1 - 1
PSG
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1983 |
PSG
4 - 3
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
NAN
2 - 0
PSG
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
PSG
4 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SV Thor Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
THO
1 - 0
KSV
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
SDL
2 - 2
THO
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
THO
3 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
KFC
2 - 3
THO
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
THO
1 - 3
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |