PSG vs Stade Rennais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
2º
1º
20
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
REI
1 - 1
PSG
12%
17%
71%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 0
GIR
61%
20%
19%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
BRE
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 3
PSG
32%
23%
45%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PSG
6 - 0
MPL
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
52%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REN
3 - 0
MPL
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
REN
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
REN
26%
24%
51%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
REN
3 - 0
LYO
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |