PSG vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
PSG
0 - 3
NIC
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1987 |
GIR
1 - 0
PSG
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
PSG
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
PSG
3 - 0
ASS
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
SPO
1 - 0
ASN
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LHA
1 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 0
GIR
26%
29%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
SOC
0 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 0
REN
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |