PSG vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
2º
1º
18
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
1 - 0
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
21%
21%
58%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
PSG
30%
23%
47%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
LYO
64%
19%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
RBS
0 - 3
PSG
10%
16%
74%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 1
REI
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 4
MAR
15%
21%
63%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 1
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
REN
5 - 0
ASS
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |