PSG vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
MET
0 - 0
PSG
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1986 |
MAR
4 - 0
PSG
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
PSG
0 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 0
PSG
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 1
LHA
50%
28%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
ASS
2 - 0
GIR
25%
30%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
REN
0 - 0
ASS
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
NAN
28%
30%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |