PSG vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 0
PSG
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
NÎM
1 - 2
PSG
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
PSG
0 - 2
MET
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
REI
2 - 0
PSG
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
PFC
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
5 - 1
PFC
74%
16%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
PFC
0 - 0
LYO
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 1
PFC
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
PFC
0 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |