PSG vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
2º
1º
30
5º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 8.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 15% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
RBS
0 - 3
PSG
10%
16%
74%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 0
PSG
11%
17%
73%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
NAN
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
PSG
68%
17%
14%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 0
TFC
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
3 - 2
EIN
33%
23%
44%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 3
LYO
17%
21%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 1
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
QAR
1 - 4
LYO
19%
21%
61%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
REI
1 - 1
LYO
26%
24%
50%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |