PSG vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ETG
2 - 2
PSG
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
PSG
3 - 1
RBS
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 0
BRE
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 3
PSG
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 0
DIF
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 2
NIC
48%
28%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 0
BRE
54%
27%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |