PSG vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
PSG
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
NAN
4 - 2
PSG
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
PSG
0 - 0
BRE
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
NIC
0 - 3
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MON
2 - 1
NIC
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
NIC
4 - 2
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
LIL
4 - 3
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
NIC
2 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |