PSG vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 1
PSG
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
PSG
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
PSG
1 - 0
GIR
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
PSG
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
PSG
0 - 1
LYO
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NAN
1 - 4
LMU
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 0
NAN
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NAN
1 - 1
MON
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
AUX
2 - 1
NAN
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
REI
3 - 3
NAN
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |