PSG vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 0
LYO
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
MON
3 - 1
PSG
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 1
BOA
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
PSG
0 - 1
NAN
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LEN
3 - 2
PSG
48%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAN
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NAN
3 - 1
MPL
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
PSG
0 - 1
NAN
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
NAN
4 - 1
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |