PSG vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
PSG
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PSG
2 - 0
NAN
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LMU
0 - 0
PSG
30%
29%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
PSG
2 - 1
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ASS
3 - 0
PSG
33%
29%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ASN
2 - 0
TFC
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SOC
0 - 2
ASN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ASN
2 - 1
TRO
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 2
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |