PSG vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
4 - 1
PSG
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BEA
0 - 2
PSG
5%
14%
82%
|
87 | 13 | 74 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
PSG
0 - 0
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
PSG
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 1
PSG
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
ASN
0 - 0
MET
38%
29%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
ASN
2 - 1
SOC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
REN
3 - 1
ASN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
ASN
1 - 2
TRO
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
MPL
1 - 0
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |