PSG vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 0
TFC
69%
17%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
FCR
0 - 1
PSG
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
PSG
2 - 0
STR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 1
PSG
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 1
ASN
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1984 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ASN
1 - 3
REN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
ASN
0 - 1
AUX
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 1
ASN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |