PSG vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
TRO
1 - 1
PSG
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 0
NÎM
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
GIR
2 - 1
PSG
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1976 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1976 |
LIL
2 - 1
PSG
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
ASN
5 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
ASN
3 - 1
REI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1976 |
MET
4 - 1
ASN
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1976 |
ASN
0 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |